A Reckoning Between Equity Prices And Economic Reality

The one thing you can learn from history is that people don’t learn from history.  – Warren Buffett There are several major developments we should see unfold in the next few months. One can make parallels to the sticky inflation and stagflation of the 1970s and early 80s and, we can also make parallels to…

Read More

The Arrival of the Bears

Inflation Market Update

The War in Ukraine, China, and Inflation It is possible that this was a grave miscalculation from the Putin regime, given that they essentially conducted a repeat of the invasion of the Crimea in 2014 only this time on a larger scale in Ukraine, but alas this time, with totally different results. All indications seem…

Read More

2021 – A Look Ahead

The market ahead

On any objective scale, the United States has handled the Coronavirus pandemic abysmally. For just a very basic illustration, according to the most recent estimates, the United States has had 554 Coronavirus-related deaths per million people and has yet to peak.1 In countries that have already peaked and largely handled the pandemic, the numbers are drastically different. Germany sits at 112 per million (nearly 5 times lower) and Japan is at 10 per million (nearly 60 times lower).2

Read More

Economic Future of a Post-Coronavirus World

On any objective scale, the United States has handled the Coronavirus pandemic abysmally. For just a very basic illustration, according to the most recent estimates, the United States has had 554 Coronavirus-related deaths per million people and has yet to peak.1 In countries that have already peaked and largely handled the pandemic, the numbers are drastically different. Germany sits at 112 per million (nearly 5 times lower) and Japan is at 10 per million (nearly 60 times lower).2

Read More

Coronavirus and Beyond

Coronavirus

First of all, we hope that you all are staying safe in these unprecedented times. We wanted to send out a few updates that have happened over the last few weeks with an eye towards the future. Given the many developments that we have had during these times, this Update is longer than usual, so please take some time to read the following carefully as there is plenty of pertinent information here.

Read More